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Friday, February 16, 2007

Market Commentary - Friday, 16 Feburary 2007

FOREIGN EXCHANGE

EUR/USD
closed higher on Thursday as it extended yesterday's breakout above the reaction high crossing. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady opening on Friday. Stochastics and the RSI remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes below Monday's low crossing would confirm that a short-term top has been posted.

USD/JPY gapped down and closed below the previous reaction low crossing on Thursday confirming that a high has been posted. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Friday. Closes above Thursday's gap crossing would confirm that a short-term low has been posted.

GBP/USD closed lower on Thursday as it consolidated some of Wednesday's rally. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Friday. Stochastics and the RSI are turning bullish signaling that a short-term low might be in or is near. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing would signal that a short-term low has been posted.

USD/CHF closed lower on Thursday and is challenging the lower boundary of this year's trading range crossing . The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Friday. Stochastics and the RSI are bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term.




BULLION

Gold
closed higher on Thursday as it consolidates above the retracement level of last summer's decline crossing. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady opening on Friday. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought, diverging but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing would confirm that a top has been posted.

Silver closed slightly lower on Thursday but remains above the retracement level of the December-January decline crossing .The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Friday. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought, diverging but are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing are needed to confirm that a short-term top has been posted.



U.S. STOCK MARKET INDICES

DJI
posted a new all-time high on Thursday as it extended the long-term uptrend. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Friday. Closes below the reaction low crossing would confirm that a short-term top has been posted.

SPI posted an inside day with a new high close for the year on Thursday as it extended this year's rally. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Friday. Stochastics and the RSI are turning bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes below the reaction low crossing would confirm that a short-term top has been posted

NDI closed higher on Thursday and above resistance marked by last Friday's high crossing . The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Friday. Closes below the reaction low crossing would confirm that a short-term top has been posted.



ENERGY

Crude oil
closed slightly lower on Thursday as it consolidates below the 10-day moving average crossing. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Friday. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing are needed to confirm that a short-term top has been posted.

Natural Gas closed higher on Thursday as it consolidated some of this week's decline but remains below the 20- day moving average crossing. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Friday. Closes above Monday's gap crossing would temper the near-term bearish outlook in the market.




COFFEE

Coffee
closed higher on Thursday as it consolidated some of this week's decline. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Friday. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold and are turning bullish hinting that a short-term low might be in or is near. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing are needed to confirm that a short-term low has been posted.




The information set forth herein was obtained from sources which we believe to be reliable, but its accuracy cannot be guaranteed. It is not intended to be an offer, or the solicitation of any offer, to buy or sell the products or instruments referred herein. Any person placing reliance on this commentary to undertake trading does so entirely at their own risk

Thursday, February 15, 2007

Market Commentary - Thursday, 15 February 2007

FOREIGN EXCHANGE

EUR/USD
gapped up and closed above the reaction high crossing on Wednesday confirming that a low has been posted. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Thursday. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes below Monday's low crossing would confirm that a short-term top has been posted.

USD/JPY closed lower on Wednesday and below the 10-day moving average crossing. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Thursday. Closes below the reaction high crossing are needed to confirm that a high has been posted. If it extends this winter's rally, weekly support crossing is the next upside target.

GBP/USD gapped up and closed sharply higher on Wednesday as it consolidated some of this month's decline. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Thursday. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold and are turning neutral hinting that a short-term low might be in or is near-term. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing would signal that a short-term low has been posted.

USD/CHF gapped down and closed lower on Wednesday but remains locked in this year's trading range. The mid- range close sets the stage for a steady opening on Thursday. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes below the reaction low crossing are needed to confirm that a high has been posted.



BULLION

Gold
closed higher on Wednesday and above the retracement level of last summer's decline crossing. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady opening on Thursday. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought, diverging but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing would signal that a top has been posted.

Silver closed higher on Wednesday and spiked above the retracement level of the December-January decline crossing . The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady opening on Thursday. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought, diverging but are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing are needed to confirm that a short-term top has been posted



U.S. STOCK MARKET INDICES

DJI
posted a new all-time high on Wednesday as it extended the long-term uptrend. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Thursday. Closes below the reaction low crossing would confirm that a short-term top has been posted.

SPI posted a new high for the year on Wednesday thereby renewing last year's rally. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Thursday. Closes below the reaction low crossing would confirm that a short-term top has been posted.

NDI closed sharply higher on Wednesday and is poised to test resistance marked by last Friday's high crossing . The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Thursday. Closes below the reaction low crossing would confirm that a short-term top has been posted.



ENERGY

Crude oil
posted an inside day with a lower close on Wednesday and below the 10-day moving average crossing . The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Thursday. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought and are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If it renews this year's rally, the retracement level of the December-January decline crossing is the next upside target.

Natural Gas closed lower on Wednesday and below the 20-day moving average crossing as it extended this week's decline. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Thursday. If it extends this week's decline, the reaction low crossing is the next downside target. Closes above Monday's gap crossing would temper the near-term bearish outlook in the market.



COFFEE

Coffee
closed higher on Wednesday as it consolidated some of this week's decline. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Thursday. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold and are neutral to bullish hinting that a short-term low might be in or is near. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing are needed to confirm that a short-term low has been posted.



The information set forth herein was obtained from sources which we believe to be reliable, but its accuracy cannot be guaranteed. It is not intended to be an offer, or the solicitation of any offer, to buy or sell the products or instruments referred herein. Any person placing reliance on this commentary to undertake trading does so entirely at their own risk

Wednesday, February 14, 2007

Market Commentary - Wednesday, 14 February 2007



FOREIGN EXCHANGE

EUR/USD
gapped up and closed higher on Tuesday. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Wednesday. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above the reaction high crossing are needed to confirm that a low has been posted.

USD/JPY gapped down and closed lower on Tuesday as it consolidates above January's low crossing . The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Wednesday. Stochastics and the RSI remain bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 10-day moving average crossing would signal that a short-term high has been posted.

GBP/USD closed lower on Tuesday as it extended last week's decline below the reaction low crossing. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Wednesday. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing would signal that a short-term low has been posted.


USD/CHF gapped down and closed lower on Tuesday as it consolidated some of Monday's rally and remains below the 10-day moving average. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady opening on Wednesday. Stochastics and the RSI remain bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes below the reaction high crossing are needed to confirm that a high has been posted.




BULLION

Gold
closed higher on Tuesday as it consolidated some of Monday's decline. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady opening on Wednesday. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought, diverging but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing would signal that a top has been posted.

Silver closed higher on Tuesday and above the retracement level of the December-January decline crossing. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Wednesday. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought, diverging but are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing are needed to confirm that a short-term top has been posted.



U.S. STOCK MARKET INDICES

DJI
closed sharply higher on Tuesday and above the 10-day moving average crossing tempering the near-term bearish outlook in the market. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Wednesday. SPI closed sharply higher on Tuesday as it consolidated some of the decline off last Fridays high but remains below the10-day moving average crossing. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Wednesday. Closes above last week's high crossing are needed to renew this winter's rally. NDI closed higher on Tuesday as it consolidated some of the decline off last Friday's high. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady opening on Wednesday. Stochastics and the RSI are bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term.



ENERGY

Crude oil
sharply higher on Tuesday and above the 10-day moving average crossing. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Wednesday. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but are bullish hinting that additional short-term gains are still possible. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing are needed to confirm that a short-term top has been posted.

Natural Gas closed higher on Tuesday and above the 20-day moving average crossing on Tuesday as it consolidated some of Monday's decline. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Wednesday. If it extends Monday's decline, the reaction low crossing is the next downside target. Closes above Monday's gap crossing would temper the near-term bearish outlook in the market.




COFFEE

Coffee
closed lower on Tuesday as it extended Monday's decline. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady opening on Wednesday. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing are needed to confirm that a short-term low has been posted.



The information set forth herein was obtained from sources which we believe to be reliable, but its accuracy cannot be guaranteed. It is not intended to be an offer, or the solicitation of any offer, to buy or sell the products or instruments referred herein. Any person placing reliance on this commentary to undertake trading does so entirely at their own risk

Tuesday, February 13, 2007

Market Commentary - Tuesday, 13 February 2007

FOREIGN EXCHANGE

EUR/USD
gapped down and closed lower on Monday and the mid-range close sets the stage for a steady opening on Tuesday. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above the reaction high crossing are needed to confirm that a low has been posted. If it renews this winter's decline, the retracement level of this fall's rally crossing is the next downside target.

USD/JPY closed higher on Monday as it extended last week's rally. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Tuesday. Stochastics and the RSI are bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 10-day moving average crossing would signal that a short-term high has been posted.

GBP/USD closed lower on Monday as it extended last week's decline and below the reaction low crossing . The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Tuesday. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term.

USD/CHF closed higher on Monday as it extended last week's rally above the 10-day moving average crossing. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady opening on Tuesday. Stochastics and the RSI are bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes below the reaction low crossing are needed to confirm that a high has been posted.




BULLION

Gold
closed sharply lower on Monday as it consolidated some of last Friday's rally. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Tuesday. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought, diverging but remain bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing would signal that a top has been posted.

Silver closed sharply lower on Tuesday as it consolidated some of last week's rally. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady opening on Tuesday. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought, diverging but are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing are needed to confirm that a short-term top has been posted.




U.S. STOCK MARKET INDICES

DJI
closed lower on Monday and below the 20-day moving average crossing as it extended last week's decline. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Tuesday. Stochastics and the RSI are bearish signaling that a short-term top has been posted. SPI closed lower on Monday as it extended last Friday's decline. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Tuesday. Stochastics and the RSI are bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. NDI closed lower on Monday as it extended last Friday's decline. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Tuesday. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term.




ENERGY

Crude oil
closed sharply lower on Monday and below the 10-day moving average crossing signaling that a short- term top has been posted. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Tuesday. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but are neutral hinting that additional short-term gains are still possible. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing are needed to confirm that a short-term top has been posted.

Natural Gas gapped down and closed below the 20-day moving average crossing on Monday confirming that a short-term top has been posted. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Tuesday. If it extends Monday's decline, the reaction low crossing is the next downside target. Closes above Monday's gap crossing would temper the near-term bearish outlook in the market.




COFFEE

Coffee
closed lower on Monday as it extended last Friday's breakout below January's low crossing. The low- range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Tuesday. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes above the reaction high crossing are needed to confirm that a short-term low has been posted.

Monday, February 12, 2007

Market Commentary - Monday, 12 February 2007

FOREIGN EXCHANGE

EUR/USD closed lower on Friday and the low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI remain bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above the reaction high crossing are needed to confirm that a low has been posted. If it renews this winter's decline, the retracement level of this fall's rally crossing is the next downside target.

USD/JPY closed higher on Friday as it extended Thursday's rally above the 10-day moving average crossing. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI are bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above last Tuesday's high would open the door for a possible test of gap resistance crossing.

GBP/USD gapped down and closed lower on Friday as it extended Thursday's breakout below the 10-day moving average crossing. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term.

USD/CHF closed lower on Friday as it extended last week's breakout below the 10-day moving average crossing. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought and are turning neutral hinting that sideways prices are possible near-term. Closes below the reaction high crossing are needed to confirm that a high has been posted.



BULLION

Gold closed sharply higher on Friday as it extended this year's rally. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI are turning bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If it extends this year's rally, weekly resistance crossing is the next upside target. Closes below the 20- day moving average crossing would signal that a top with December's high has been posted.

silver closed higher on Friday and above the retracement level of the December-January decline crossing. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought, diverging but are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If it extends this year's rally, fib resistance crossing is the next upside target.



U.S. STOCK MARKET INDICES

DJI closed lower on Friday as it consolidates some of last week's rally. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought and are turning bearish hinting that a short-term top might be in or is near. SPI closed sharply lower on Friday as it consolidated some of this month's rally. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought and are turning bearish hinting that a short-term top might be in or is near. NDI closed sharply lower on Friday and below the 10-day moving average crossing. The low- range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI remain bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term.



ENERGY

Crude Oil closed higher on Friday and spiked above the retracement level of the December-January decline crossing. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but are bullish hinting that additional short-term gains are still possible. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing would confirm that a short-term top has been posted.

Natural Gas closed lower on Friday and the low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Monday. If it extends this rally, gap resistance crossing is the next upside target. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought and diverging signaling that a high might have been posted. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing would confirm that a high has likely been posted.



COFFEE

Coffee
closed lower on Friday and below January's low crossing thereby renewing this year's decline. The low- range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI are bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If it extends this year's decline, the 62% retracement level of this fall's rally crossing is the next downside target. Closes above last week's high crossing are needed to confirm that a short-term low has been posted.




The information set forth herein was obtained from sources which we believe to be reliable, but its accuracy cannot be guaranteed. It is not intended to be an offer, or the solicitation of any offer, to buy or sell the products or instruments referred herein. Any person placing reliance on this commentary to undertake trading does so entirely at their own risk